DraftKings Plays and Fades: Week 4 Fantasy Football
QB
Play: Gardner Minshew II ($5900 DK)
The Cincinnati Bengals defense is bad. The $5900 price tag is way too cheap for Gardner Minshew II. It’s only that low because he’s coming off of a poor game against the Miami Dolphins. Burrow vs Minshew may just be a shoot out.
Fade: Patrick Mahomes ($7400 DK)
The Chiefs and Mahomes are coming off a big-time MNF win against the Baltimore Ravens, and now they have to face an always prepared Bill Belichick on a short week. Belichick and the Patriots defense never cease to amaze me. I think they come up with an answer here for Mahomes. He may have a pair of TDs, but I’d be shocked if he has a monster game.
RB
Play: Kenyan Drake ($6000 DK)
Kenyan Drake has been lackluster so far this season. It’s a great buy-low opportunity season-long imo. The Carolina Panthers are a juicy matchup for a Drake. I’m expecting the Cardinals to dominate time of possession and for Drake to be the benefactor.
Fade: Mark Ingram II ($5700 DK)
This is an absolute dream spot for Mark Ingram II owners. He’s going up against a bad Washington Football Team with a banged-up defense. The Ravens are 13 point favorites on the road. The problem with Mark Ingram II is that he doesn’t play! He seems to play the first 2 snaps of every drive and then hit the pine. If they do go up a lot as expected, they will rest him and let Dobbins and Edwards grind out the rest of the game.
WR
Play: Odell Beckham Jr. ($5800 DK)
In Week 1, OBJ had a poor performance on 10 targets. In Weeks 2 and 3, the Cleveland Browns played from ahead and dominated the run game. They had matchups against the Cincinnati Bengals and the Washington Football Team. Week 4 they face the Dallas Cowboys. I do not expect the Browns to play from ahead. The Browns will have to throw the ball often in this one and OBJ will get his fair share. This price tag is too low.
Fade: Justin Jefferson ($5200 DK)
The value for Justin Jefferson at $5200 is there. This is purely a contrarian fade. I’m expecting a lot of DFS players to lock this guy in their lineups after his Week 3 explosion. If he does happen to dud in Week 4, you will gain an edge on the field. From a risk/reward perspective, it feels like a good move to fade him. I’m all-in on him season-long.
TE
Play: Darren Waller ($5200 DK)
Bill Belichick made the decision to shut down Darren Waller Week 3. And he did. The Buffalo Bills have a good defense, but they won’t be able to do what the Patriots did. I have him as a top 3 TE for Week 4.
Fade: TJ Hockenson ($4800 DK)
I faded TJ Hockenson in Weeks 2 and 3 as well and will continue to do so while he is treated as a top 10 TE. The skillset is there, but for whatever reason, the Detroit Lions don’t like to pepper him with targets. He has to be super-efficient to be valuable from a fantasy perspective.
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